Seasonal Forecasting of Ocean and Ice Conditions in the Beaufort Sea, 2011–2015

Lead: Gregory Flato, Environment Canada

Predicting the weather days in advance is standard fare in most parts of the country. However, for oil and gas companies considering exploration and drilling activities in the Arctic, anticipating what the weather will be like over the coming year is extremely important. This project, led by Environment Canada, is creating a high-resolution forecasting system capable of predicting ocean and sea-ice conditions in the Beaufort Sea region from one to twelve months in advance. The research is providing enhanced regional detail in operational seasonal predictions and contributes directly to the development of improved climate prediction products. This will serve both regulators’ and industry’s operational needs, now and in the future.